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Monetary PolicyFeb 2026

UK Interest Rate

Growth forecast halved and mortgage impact

Strategyland Research Team3 min readFeb 2026

The Bank of England has halved the growth forecast for 2025 to 0.75% from 1.5% and also dropped the interest rates for homeowners on mortgage.

The Bank of England has halved its growth forecast for this year - Annual real GDP growth forecasts in Nov 2024 and Feb 2025 for years 2024-2027

Source: Bank of England via BBC

Mortgage IMPACT

The interest rate cut means that for the 629,000 homeowners on mortgage tracker deals that move in line with the base rate, there will typically be a £29 fall in monthly repayments.

The near 700,000 people on standard variable rate mortgages will have to wait to see if their lender responds.

Those on a fixed mortgage deal will see no immediate change, but there might be cheaper deals available for new and renewing customers.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0lzj3g77gpo

UK interest rate cut to 4.5% - step chart from Jan 2020 to 6 Feb 2025 showing rate rising from near 0% to 5.25% then dropping

UK interest rate cut to 4.5% - Source: Bank of England, Last update: 6 Feb 2025 via BBC

Sources

Author: Strategyland Research Team

Feb 2026

#BoE#UK#Rates#Mortgage#Growth
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