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Serco Group PLC

SRP.L·Industrials·Market Cap £2.4b
Rank #137 of 280
Quantitative Model · 280 Stocks Analysed
£2.54
-9.03% YTD
52W: £2.18 - £3.26

Factor Analysis Summary

Editorial assessment generated from Serco Group PLC's live factor scores and sector positioning.

Based on Strategyland's proprietary 7-factor analysis, Serco Group PLC (SRP.L) currently holds an overall rank of #137 out of 280 FTSE 100 constituents, reflecting its weighted composite score across liquidity, valuation, profitability, solvency, asset efficiency, market trading, and technical dimensions.

Its primary strength lies in asset efficiency, where it demonstrates highly efficient capital deployment, converting assets into revenue and returns effectively.

Areas requiring attention include market trading, where low relative volume or adverse volatility patterns may deter momentum-oriented investors, as well as profitability (ROE 17.0%, net margin 3.1%), where compressed margins and weak returns on equity weigh on the earnings profile.

Within the Industrials sector, Serco Group PLC sits at composite rank #137, trailing the Industrials peer average (rank 27). It ranks behind all 6 tracked Industrials peers in our model.

The composite profile is weighed down by 5 below-average factor scores, with market trading (rank 263/280) representing the most significant drag on its #137 overall standing.

Strongest Factors

  • Asset Efficiency — Rank 25/280 (top quartile)
  • Liquidity — Rank 160/280 (middle of the pack)
  • Solvency — Rank 178/280 (below average)

Weakest Factors

  • Market Trading — Rank 263/280 (below average)
  • Profitability — Rank 208/280 (below average)

Score Analysis

Serco Group PLC is ranked #137 out of 280 UK stocks. Lower factor scores indicate better performance in that category.

Factor Breakdown

175/280
Average Score
Liquidity
Fair160/280
Valuation
Weak200/280
Profitability
Weak208/280
Solvency
Weak178/280
Asset Efficiency
Excellent25/280
Mkt Trading
Weak263/280
Technical
Weak191/280

1. Liquidity

Score: 160/280

How liquid is SRP and can it meet its short-term obligations?

0/6
liquidity criteria met
✗
Quick Ratio0.91x
Range: 1.0 - 1.5Rank 81/280
✗
Current Ratio0.93x
Range: 1.4 - 2.0Rank 172/280
✗
TTM Operating Cash Flow0.39x
Range: 0.6 - 1.0Rank 139/280
–
Liquidity Coverage RatioN/A
Range: N/A
✗
Intangible Asset Ratio0.06x
Range: 3 - 15Rank 71/280
✗
Cash-to-Debt Ratio0.22x
Range: 0.3 - 0.8Rank 144/280

Key Liquidity Metrics

Quick Ratio
0.91x
Sector: 1.0 - 1.5
Current Ratio
0.93x
Sector: 1.4 - 2.0

Overall Liquidity Rank

Rank within universe#160/280
Best (1)Worst (280)

2. Valuation

Score: 200/280

Is SRP undervalued compared to its peers and fair value metrics?

3/7
valuation criteria met
✗
FY27e P/E12.3x
Range: 14x - 28xRank 122/280
✗
FY26e P/E13.4x
Range: 14x - 28xRank 116/280
✓
FY27e Net Div Yld (%)2.18%
Range: 1.5 - 4.0Rank 171/280
✗
Div Payout Ratio29.10%
Range: 30 - 50Rank 50/280
✓
Current EV/EBITDA8.1x
Range: 7.0x - 14.0xRank 137/280
–
Current P/TBVN/A
Range: 1.5x - 5.0x
✓
Current P/B3.20x
Range: 1.5x - 5.0xRank 206/280

Key Valuation Metrics

TTM P/E
Price-to-Earnings
17.0x
FY26e P/E
Forward estimate
13.4x
FY27e P/E
Forward estimate
12.3x
Current P/B
Price-to-Book
3.20x
Current P/TBV
Tangible Book Value
N/A
Current EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value
8.1x
FY26e EV/EBITDA
Forward estimate
6.8x
FY27e EV/EBITDA
Forward estimate
6.9x

Dividend

SRP pays a dividend yield of 2.05%.

Current Yield
2.05%
FY27e Net Div Yield
2.18%
FY26e Gross DPS
0.050
FY27e Gross DPS
0.055

Dividend Per Share Forecast

3. Profitability

Score: 208/280

How profitable is SRP relative to its peers?

1/7
profitability criteria met
✗
TTM Profit Margin3.1%
Range: 5 - 10Rank 221/280
✗
T12 FCF Margin0.3%
Range: 5 - 20Rank 116/280
✗
FY27e RoE25.1%
Range: 10 - 18Rank 58/280
✓
FY26 EPS Growth11.0%
Range: 5 - 12Rank 94/280
✗
FY27e EPS Growth20.8%
Range: 8 - 15Rank 108/280
–
NIMN/A
Range: N/A
–
Expense RatioN/A
Range: 70 - 80
TTM Profit Margin
3.1%
Current RoCE
17.0%
FY27e RoE
25.1%
T12 FCF Margin
0.3%

EPS Growth

4. Solvency

Score: 178/280

How strong is SRP's balance sheet and financial position?

1/6
solvency criteria met
✗
Debt/Eqt1.04x
Range: 0.4x - 0.8xRank 204/280
–
Interest Coverage RatioRank 175
Range: 4x - 10xRank 175/280
✓
Net Leverage Ratio1.18x
Range: 1.0x - 2.5xRank 89/280
–
Altman Z-Score (Manufacturing)2.71
Range: <1.10 - >2.99Rank 188/280
–
Z-Score (Non Manufacturing)Rank 128
Range: <1.10 - >2.99Rank 128/280
–
CapAdeq Ratio Tier1N/A
Range: N/A

Key Solvency Metrics

Debt/Eqt
1.04x
Net Leverage Ratio
1.18x
Interest Coverage
Rank 175
T12 FCF Margin
0.3%

Altman Z-Score

2.71
Grey Zone
01.812.995+

5. Asset Efficiency

Score: 25/280

How efficiently does SRP deploy its assets and intellectual capital?

0/5
asset efficiency criteria met
–
Efficiency RatioN/A
Range: N/A
✗
TTM Asset Turnover Ratio1.74x
Range: 0.8x - 1.5xRank 18/280
✗
TTM CAPEX/Sales0.6%
Range: 3 - 8Rank 188/280
–
Working Capital TurnoverN/A
Range: 3x - 8x
–
R&D/Sales FY27eN/A
Range: 2.0 - 5.0

Overall Asset Efficiency Rank

Rank within sector peers#25/280
Best (1)Worst (280)

6. Market Trading

Score: 263/280

How liquid and actively traded is SRP?

2/2
market trading criteria met
✓
Intraday Sentiment (%)72.0%
Range: 25 - 75Rank 60/280
–
10D-Avg v/s 3M-Avg Vol52%
Range: N/ARank 100/280
✓
Avg Directional Index 30D15.8
Range: 012 - 45Rank 211/280
–
Parabolic SAR245.20
Range: N/ARank 221/280
–
Stock Rating RankRank 100
Range: N/ARank 100/280
Market Cap
£2,442,798,399
Enterprise Value
£3,166,498,399

Trading Volume

7. Technical

Score: 191/280

What do the technical indicators say about SRP?

0/5
technical criteria met
–
CMP v/s 52-WH-22.0%
£3.26£2.18
-22.0%CMP: £2.54
Range: N/ARank 219/280
–
CMP v/s 52-WL16.3%
£3.26£2.18
+16.3%CMP: £2.54
Range: N/ARank 90/280
–
RSI 14D46.8
046.8 - Bearish100
Range: N/ARank 50/280
–
MA50 - MA200Bearish
£2.56-0.15£2.71
Range: N/ARank 226/280
–
MACD Rank-0.13
Death Cross
MACD: -0.13
Range: N/A

RSI (14 Day)

46.8
Bearish
0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)

Moving Averages

50 SMA£2.56
200 SMA£2.71
SignalDeath Cross (Bearish)
MACD-0.13

Risk Metrics

Beta
N/A
3-Yr Std Dev
0.2%
5-Yr Std Dev
0.2%

Peer Comparison

How does SRP compare to other Industrials stocks?

Overall Rank Comparison

Factor Score Comparison

StockRankLiquidityValuationProfitabilitySolvencyMkt TradingTechnical
SRP#137160200208178263191
RR.L#61002688714011440
FAN.L#12811322991147142
DPLM.L#21827570942045
RSW.L#3022280913246
EXPN.L#43472418112379161
CKN.L#5013025085831441
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Methodology Note

The analysis presented for Serco Group PLC is produced using Strategyland's proprietary 7-factor quantitative model, which evaluates each stock across Liquidity, Valuation, Profitability, Solvency, Asset Efficiency, Market Trading, and Technical dimensions. Individual factor scores and the composite rank reflect relative rankings within the FTSE 100 universe — a lower rank number indicates stronger performance in that category.

Underlying financial and market data is sourced from LSEG (London Stock Exchange Group) and processed through our scoring engine. Scores are recalculated as new data becomes available and should be interpreted as a systematic screening output, not a forecast of future share price performance.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance and factor rankings are not indicative of future results. Please read our Risk Disclaimer before making any investment decisions.

Note: The information provided is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instruments but for investor relations purposes only. The aforementioned securities were offered to the public and currently trade on the secondary market at the exchange mentioned above. It is recommended that investors considering investing in any of these notes consult an approved MiFID Financial Advisor prior to investing.