19 October 2026

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Greggs PLC (GRG)

Rank #245 of 280 - Consumer Cyclicals - UK Equities

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Greggs PLC

GRG.L·Consumer Cyclicals·Market Cap £2.2b

Rank #245 of 280

Quantitative Model · 280 Stocks Analysed

£21.08

+25.48% YTD

52W: £14.07 - £21.46

Factor Analysis Summary

Editorial assessment generated from Greggs PLC's live factor scores and sector positioning.

Based on Strategyland's proprietary 7-factor analysis, Greggs PLC (GRG.L) currently holds an overall rank of #245 out of 280 FTSE 100 constituents, reflecting its weighted composite score across liquidity, valuation, profitability, solvency, asset efficiency, market trading, and technical dimensions.

Key strengths include asset efficiency, where it demonstrates highly efficient capital deployment, converting assets into revenue and returns effectively; market trading, where it demonstrates strong market trading characteristics with favourable volume trends and institutional participation; and technical (RSI 77.0), where it demonstrates positive technical momentum with price action supporting a constructive trend.

Areas requiring attention include liquidity, where thin trading volumes could increase transaction costs and slippage, as well as valuation (P/E 16.4, dividend yield 4.2%), where the stock appears richly priced on forward earnings and cash flow metrics.

Within the Consumer Cyclicals sector, Greggs PLC sits at composite rank #245, trailing the Consumer Cyclicals peer average (rank 44). It ranks behind all 6 tracked Consumer Cyclicals peers in our model.

The composite profile is weighed down by 3 below-average factor scores, with liquidity (rank 218/280) representing the most significant drag on its #245 overall standing.

Strongest Factors

Asset Efficiency — Rank 3/280 (top quartile)
Market Trading — Rank 11/280 (top quartile)
Technical — Rank 44/280 (top quartile)

Weakest Factors

Liquidity — Rank 218/280 (below average)
Valuation — Rank 216/280 (below average)

Score Analysis

Greggs PLC is ranked #245 out of 280 UK stocks. Lower factor scores indicate better performance in that category.

Factor Breakdown

115/280

Average Score

Liquidity

Weak218/280

Valuation

Weak216/280

Profitability

Weak183/280

Solvency

Fair131/280

Asset Efficiency

Excellent3/280

Mkt Trading

Excellent11/280

Technical

Excellent44/280

1. Liquidity

Score: 218/280

How liquid is GRG and can it meet its short-term obligations?

1/6

liquidity criteria met

Metric

Sector Range

Value

Rank

✗

Quick Ratio

0.7 - 1.2

0.40xRank 137/280

Range: 0.7 - 1.2Rank 137/280

✗

Current Ratio

1.2 - 1.8

0.56xRank 212/280

Range: 1.2 - 1.8Rank 212/280

✓

TTM Operating Cash Flow

0.8 - 1.2

1.14xRank 45/280

Range: 0.8 - 1.2Rank 45/280

–

Liquidity Coverage Ratio

N/A

Range: N/A

✗

Intangible Asset Ratio

3 - 15

0.03xRank 119/280

Range: 3 - 15Rank 119/280

✗

Cash-to-Debt Ratio

0.3 - 0.8

0.15xRank 178/280

Range: 0.3 - 0.8Rank 178/280

Key Liquidity Metrics

Quick Ratio

0.40x

Sector: 0.7 - 1.2

Current Ratio

0.56x

Sector: 1.2 - 1.8

Overall Liquidity Rank

Rank within universe#218/280

Best (1)Worst (280)

2. Valuation

Score: 216/280

Is GRG undervalued compared to its peers and fair value metrics?

6/7

valuation criteria met

Metric

Sector Range

Value

Rank

✓

FY27e P/E

12x - 30x

16.0xRank 171/280

Range: 12x - 30xRank 171/280

✓

FY26e P/E

12x - 30x

16.4xRank 154/280

Range: 12x - 30xRank 154/280

✓

FY27e Net Div Yld (%)

1.0 - 4.0

3.37%Rank 122/280

Range: 1.0 - 4.0Rank 122/280

✓

Div Payout Ratio

25 - 50

37.91%Rank 100/280

Range: 25 - 50Rank 100/280

✗

Current EV/EBITDA

7.0x - 11.0x

6.1xRank 78/280

Range: 7.0x - 11.0xRank 78/280

✓

Current P/TBV

1.5x - 4.5x

2.96xRank 151/280

Range: 1.5x - 4.5xRank 151/280

✓

Current P/B

1.5x - 4.5x

2.75xRank 198/280

Range: 1.5x - 4.5xRank 198/280

Key Valuation Metrics

TTM P/E

Price-to-Earnings

16.4x

FY26e P/E

Forward estimate

16.4x

FY27e P/E

Forward estimate

16.0x

Current P/B

Price-to-Book

2.75x

Current P/TBV

Tangible Book Value

2.96x

Current EV/EBITDA

Enterprise Value

6.1x

FY26e EV/EBITDA

Forward estimate

6.6x

FY27e EV/EBITDA

Forward estimate

6.6x

Dividend

GRG pays a dividend yield of 4.19%.

Current Yield

4.19%

FY27e Net Div Yield

3.37%

FY26e Gross DPS

0.693

FY27e Gross DPS

0.710

Dividend Per Share Forecast

3. Profitability

Score: 183/280

How profitable is GRG relative to its peers?

3/7

profitability criteria met

Metric

Sector Range

Value

Rank

✓

TTM Profit Margin

3 - 8

5.9%Rank 185/280

Range: 3 - 8Rank 185/280

✗

T12 FCF Margin

3 - 10

1.6%Rank 44/280

Range: 3 - 10Rank 44/280

✗

FY27e RoE

5 - 12

17.3%Rank 97/280

Range: 5 - 12Rank 97/280

✓

FY26 EPS Growth

0 - 5

3.7%Rank 144/280

Range: 0 - 5Rank 144/280

✓

FY27e EPS Growth

5 - 12

6.3%Rank 177/280

Range: 5 - 12Rank 177/280

–

NIM

N/A

Range: N/A

–

Expense Ratio

85 - 92

N/A

Range: 85 - 92

TTM Profit Margin

5.9%

Current RoCE

20.4%

FY27e RoE

17.3%

T12 FCF Margin

1.6%

EPS Growth

4. Solvency

Score: 131/280

How strong is GRG's balance sheet and financial position?

1/6

solvency criteria met

Metric

Sector Range

Value

Rank

✓

Debt/Eqt

0.5x - 1.2x

0.76xRank 175/280

Range: 0.5x - 1.2xRank 175/280

–

Interest Coverage Ratio

3x - 8x

Rank 112Rank 112/280

Range: 3x - 8xRank 112/280

✗

Net Leverage Ratio

1.5x - 3.5x

1.08xRank 82/280

Range: 1.5x - 3.5xRank 82/280

–

Altman Z-Score (Manufacturing)

<1.10 - >2.60

3.69Rank 153/280

Range: <1.10 - >2.60Rank 153/280

–

Z-Score (Non Manufacturing)

<1.10 - >2.60

Rank 108Rank 108/280

Range: <1.10 - >2.60Rank 108/280

–

CapAdeq Ratio Tier1

N/A

Range: N/A

Key Solvency Metrics

Debt/Eqt

0.76x

Net Leverage Ratio

1.08x

Interest Coverage

Rank 112

T12 FCF Margin

1.6%

Altman Z-Score

3.69

Safe Zone

01.812.995+

5. Asset Efficiency

Score: 3/280

How efficiently does GRG deploy its assets and intellectual capital?

1/5

asset efficiency criteria met

Metric

Sector Range

Value

Rank

–

Efficiency Ratio

N/A

Range: N/A

✓

TTM Asset Turnover Ratio

1.0x - 2.5x

1.58xRank 23/280

Range: 1.0x - 2.5xRank 23/280

✗

TTM CAPEX/Sales

3 - 8

8.4%Rank 58/280

Range: 3 - 8Rank 58/280

–

Working Capital Turnover

5x - 12x

N/A

Range: 5x - 12x

–

R&D/Sales FY27e

0.5 - 3.0

N/A

Range: 0.5 - 3.0

Overall Asset Efficiency Rank

Rank within sector peers#3/280

Best (1)Worst (280)

6. Market Trading

Score: 11/280

How liquid and actively traded is GRG?

1/2

market trading criteria met

Metric

Sector Range

Value

Rank

✗

Intraday Sentiment (%)

30 - 70

90.0%Rank 21/280

Range: 30 - 70Rank 21/280

–

10D-Avg v/s 3M-Avg Vol

N/A

176%Rank 50/280

Range: N/ARank 50/280

✓

Avg Directional Index 30D

012 - 45

22.7Rank 100/280

Range: 012 - 45Rank 100/280

–

Parabolic SAR

N/A

2003.08Rank 56/280

Range: N/ARank 56/280

–

Stock Rating Rank

N/A

Range: N/A

Market Cap

£2,154,409,428

Enterprise Value

£2,593,849,629

Trading Volume

7. Technical

Score: 44/280

What do the technical indicators say about GRG?

0/5

technical criteria met

Metric

Chart

Sector Range

Value

Rank

–

CMP v/s 52-WH

£21.46£14.07

-1.8%CMP: £21.08

N/A

-1.8%Rank 20/280

£21.46£14.07

-1.8%CMP: £21.08

Range: N/ARank 20/280

–

CMP v/s 52-WL

£21.46£14.07

+49.8%CMP: £21.08

N/A

49.8%Rank 218/280

£21.46£14.07

+49.8%CMP: £21.08

Range: N/ARank 218/280

–

RSI 14D

077.0 - Overbought100

N/A

77.0Rank 25/280

077.0 - Overbought100

Range: N/ARank 25/280

–

MA50 - MA200

£16.89+1.83£18.71

N/A

BullishRank 26/280

£16.89+1.83£18.71

Range: N/ARank 26/280

–

MACD Rank

Golden Cross

MACD: 24.91

N/A

24.91Rank 100/280

Golden Cross

MACD: 24.91

Range: N/ARank 100/280

RSI (14 Day)

77.0

Overbought

0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)

Moving Averages

50 SMA£18.71

200 SMA£16.89

SignalGolden Cross (Bullish)

MACD24.91

Risk Metrics

Beta

N/A

3-Yr Std Dev

N/A

5-Yr Std Dev

N/A

Peer Comparison

How does GRG compare to other Consumer Cyclicals stocks?

Overall Rank Comparison

Factor Score Comparison

Stock	Rank	Liquidity	Valuation	Profitability	Solvency	Mkt Trading	Technical
GRG	#245	218	216	183	131	11	44
GAW.L	#10	9	267	93	36	18	240
NXT.L	#22	40	261	94	105	2	33
FOUR.L	#31	135	202	184	24	82	12
GFTU_u.L	#56	49	145	218	125	153	11
MOONM.L	#70	144	178	158	161	135	116
CPG.L	#72	156	203	150	129	266	215

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Methodology Note

The analysis presented for Greggs PLC is produced using Strategyland's proprietary 7-factor quantitative model, which evaluates each stock across Liquidity, Valuation, Profitability, Solvency, Asset Efficiency, Market Trading, and Technical dimensions. Individual factor scores and the composite rank reflect relative rankings within the FTSE 100 universe — a lower rank number indicates stronger performance in that category.

Underlying financial and market data is sourced from LSEG (London Stock Exchange Group) and processed through our scoring engine. Scores are recalculated as new data becomes available and should be interpreted as a systematic screening output, not a forecast of future share price performance.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance and factor rankings are not indicative of future results. Please read our Risk Disclaimer before making any investment decisions.

Strategyland Research Center - strategyland.ukThis report is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.